Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.103124 0.114157 0.125443 0.137826 0.151001 0.164576 0.179593
2025-02-02 0.084680 0.101139 0.118798 0.139031 0.161452 0.185422 0.212870
2025-02-09 0.072393 0.092514 0.115014 0.141746 0.172351 0.206022 0.245592
2025-02-16 0.061221 0.083446 0.109278 0.140985 0.178332 0.220432 0.270982
2025-02-23 0.056393 0.081041 0.110595 0.147806 0.192592 0.243997 0.306694
2025-03-02 0.051908 0.078405 0.111103 0.153228 0.204903 0.265150 0.339619
2025-03-09 0.044483 0.071181 0.105224 0.150212 0.206552 0.273342 0.357063
2025-03-16 0.037728 0.064113 0.098902 0.146052 0.206295 0.278857 0.371021
2025-03-23 0.035277 0.062679 0.099703 0.150790 0.216985 0.297592 0.400895
2025-03-30 0.032476 0.060448 0.099201 0.153652 0.225190 0.313240 0.427066
2025-04-06 0.030597 0.059371 0.100127 0.158295 0.235627 0.331672 0.456738
2025-04-13 0.027388 0.055961 0.097544 0.158015 0.239540 0.341865 0.476233
2025-04-20 0.027242 0.057516 0.102325 0.168241 0.257863 0.371065 0.520463
2025-04-27 0.024742 0.055085 0.101227 0.170343 0.265559 0.387002 0.548507
2025-05-04 0.022807 0.053395 0.101094 0.173729 0.274981 0.405244 0.579650
2025-05-11 0.020069 0.050015 0.098171 0.172960 0.278672 0.416050 0.601420
2025-05-18 0.019550 0.050523 0.101214 0.180814 0.294196 0.442359 0.643132
2025-05-25 0.018720 0.050361 0.103147 0.187030 0.307497 0.465841 0.681375
2025-06-01 0.016047 0.046379 0.098711 0.183588 0.307191 0.471262 0.696266
2025-06-08 0.013452 0.042168 0.093584 0.178828 0.304805 0.473753 0.707244
2025-06-15 0.012846 0.041987 0.095150 0.184252 0.316877 0.495626 0.743581
2025-06-22 0.011939 0.041047 0.095348 0.187523 0.325873 0.513409 0.774668
2025-06-29 0.011408 0.040878 0.096849 0.192827 0.337829 0.535267 0.811236